Ratios & metrics

Gross Development Value (GDV)

The projected aggregate sale or investment value of a development scheme on completion — the figure every development lender underwrites against.

Gross Development Value is the valuer’s view of what a finished development will be worth on day one of practical completion — before any sales costs, selling agent fees, or warranty premiums are stripped out.

It’s the denominator in LTGDV, the headline metric a senior development lender uses to size a loan.

GDV vs. Net Development Value

  • GDV — gross sale price across all units, pre-costs.
  • NDV (or Net Development Value) — GDV minus disposal costs (agency, legal, marketing, warranty, any incentives or fees).

Most senior lenders underwrite against GDV. Mezzanine lenders often model NDV for their own debt-service cover.

How valuers actually arrive at a GDV

Expect a chartered surveyor to produce a figure that your appraisal spreadsheet disagrees with. The valuer will:

  1. Pull 6–12 comparable transactions of built, sold, and registered units within a reasonable radius.
  2. Adjust per square foot for size, specification, floor level, aspect, parking and tenure.
  3. Discount block-sales to an investor if the unit mix wouldn’t absorb on retail.
  4. Apply a price-growth assumption — usually flat or very modest, rarely your bullish number.
  5. Net off incentives buyers have actually received in those comparables.

Why your GDV model often reads higher than the valuer’s

  • You are using asking prices, not sold prices.
  • Your “comparables” are the best recent sale, not a median.
  • You haven’t discounted for volume absorption on large schemes.
  • You’re assuming market growth during the build period; the valuer usually isn’t.

Every 1% movement in GDV moves your senior loan by 0.6–0.7% (at 65–70% LTGDV). A 5% GDV haircut is often the difference between a workable capital stack and needing mezzanine.

See also